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All IPCC AR6 regions are close to their 1.5 °C- and 2 °C-equivalent warming limits

Nature · By Tong Li ·

The Brief · written from 4 sources

  • A modelling study in Nature Climate Change quantifies human-induced warming in each IPCC AR6 region since pre-industrial times.
  • Global temperatures have warmed about 1.44°C since preindustrial times, according to the sources.
  • Many regions have passed 1.5°C of warming and some have passed 2°C, while the study reports all regions are close to their 1.5°C- or 2°C-equivalent limits.

Why it matters

Paris Agreement limits are set for global averages, but this study shows what they mean regionally, which helps science readers and policymakers see where warming is already concentrated.

Who’s affected

  • climate scientists
  • policymakers working on regional climate targets
  • anyone with a stake in regional climate impacts

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 09 November 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02790-y Climate targets are set for global temperatures, but what they mean regionally is less clear. Here the authors quantify the amount of human-induced warming in individual IPCC regions and…

Timeline

  1. Modelling study published online in Nature Climate Change (doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02790-y)

  2. nature.com

    All IPCC AR6 regions are close to their 1.5 °C- and 2 °C-equivalent warming limits

  3. nature.com

    Regional climate change approaches Paris limits

  4. Eos

    Many Regions Have Warmed Beyond 1.5°C and Some Beyond 2°C, New Study Finds

  5. Science Media Centre

    expert reaction to a modelling study of warming patterns across all IPCC AR6 regions since pre-industrial times

Full coverage · 4 sources

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    All IPCC AR6 regions are close to their 1.5 °C- and 2 °C-equivalent warming limits – The Morning Science